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Red61
975228.8
541112.5
420615.4
Blue38
42950.3
41817.2
246841.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5575020401001201406138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.80.6
23.123.7
Auto12.9
Teleop15.1
End0.8
blue by 12.4
41.31.8
35.033.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.7
End1.9
Second
15.40.6
14.214.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
blue by 1.8
418
#20
17.21.8
21.519.7
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
5411
#16
12.50.9
15.316.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 12.3
4295
#28
0.33.1
9.06.0
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed