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Red40
94074.5
41817.2
90807.5
Blue19
85126.4
908814.6
59089.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253801020305060704019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#20
17.20.4
16.416.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 2.5
9088
#11
14.60.9
16.415.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
Second
9080
#24
7.50.6
4.85.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
blue by 1.5
5908
#14
9.01.3
8.16.8
Auto3.5
Teleop5.5
End0.1
Third
9407
#19
4.50.4
2.83.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 1.9
8512
#23
6.41.3
8.26.9
Auto3.6
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed