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Red22
750611.4
75346.5
90815.9
Blue79
415312.4
300541.3
74929.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions207104060801001202279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7506
#17
11.40.7
11.911.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
blue by 29.9
41.30.7
38.339.1
Auto14.4
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Second
7534
#25
6.50.7
7.06.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
blue by 5.8
4153
#12
12.41.0
9.710.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
9081
#30
5.90.5
5.34.8
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 3.9
7492
#21
9.70.7
9.810.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed