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Red64
300541.3
94074.5
750310.2
Blue46
268723.1
541112.5
91568.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574602040801001201406446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.9
39.140.0
Auto14.4
Teleop24.5
End2.4
red by 18.1
23.10.2
21.021.2
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Second
7503
#10
10.20.9
8.08.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 2.3
5411
#16
12.50.2
14.815.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9407
#19
4.50.9
3.24.1
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 3.8
9156
#26
8.30.2
7.57.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed