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Red56
75346.5
667225.0
910519.2
Blue49
975228.8
750611.4
73210.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5147203040607080905649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.00.9
19.820.7
Auto9.1
Teleop13.9
End2.0
blue by 3.8
28.80.4
28.127.8
Auto12.9
Teleop15.1
End0.8
Second
9105
#18
19.20.9
19.420.4
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 7.8
7506
#17
11.40.5
11.210.7
Auto6.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Third
7534
#25
6.50.9
6.37.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
red by 5.8
7321
#29
0.70.5
3.32.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned