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Red38
42950.3
258223.2
90815.9
Blue52
94074.5
808826.0
420615.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28490204060801003852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.4
22.723.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.6
End2.4
blue by 2.8
26.00.4
24.424.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End0.7
Second
9081
#30
5.90.4
4.85.3
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 9.5
15.40.4
13.213.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Third
4295
#28
0.30.5
-0.10.4
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.9
End0.6
blue by 4.3
9407
#19
4.50.4
4.14.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed