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Red8
541112.5
73210.7
74929.7
Blue62
331028.2
908814.6
42510.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652020406080862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5411
#16
12.51.4
14.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 15.7
28.20.3
28.027.7
Auto11.8
Teleop12.9
End3.5
Second
7492
#21
9.71.3
10.59.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
blue by 4.9
9088
#11
14.60.3
15.315.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
Third
7321
#29
0.71.4
2.10.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop0.3
End1.1
red by 0.2
4251
#31
0.50.3
0.80.5
Auto1.8
Teleop-1.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned