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Red55
91568.3
415312.4
949212.2
Blue31
75346.5
754011.3
268914.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050605531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4153
#12
12.41.1
11.612.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 2.2
2689
#15
14.60.0
15.015.0
Auto6.1
Teleop6.7
End1.7
Second
9492
#13
12.21.1
11.412.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.6
End1.0
red by 0.9
7540
#22
11.30.0
9.89.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Third
9156
#26
8.31.1
7.78.7
Auto5.0
Teleop2.9
End0.5
red by 1.8
7534
#25
6.50.0
6.66.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed