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Red42
541112.5
910519.2
90807.5
Blue61
75346.5
300541.3
420615.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446902060801001201404261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#18
19.20.9
16.715.8
Auto6.2
Teleop10.0
End2.9
blue by 22.1
41.30.1
34.434.5
Auto14.4
Teleop24.5
End2.4
Second
5411
#16
12.50.9
16.215.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 2.8
15.40.1
14.714.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Third
9080
#24
7.50.9
10.09.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.2
red by 1.0
7534
#25
6.50.2
10.510.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed