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Red52
908814.6
808826.0
42950.3
Blue88
74929.7
975228.8
268723.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4063020801005288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.00.9
20.121.0
Auto8.3
Teleop17.0
End0.7
blue by 2.8
28.81.3
23.725.0
Auto12.9
Teleop15.1
End0.8
Second
9088
#11
14.60.9
12.613.5
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End0.2
blue by 8.5
23.11.3
18.720.0
Auto12.5
Teleop9.8
End0.9
Third
4295
#28
0.31.5
6.07.5
Auto0.5
Teleop-0.9
End0.6
blue by 9.5
7492
#21
9.71.3
12.113.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed