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Red29
258710.0
769111.8
52617.7
Blue12
25857.3
83925.7
50702.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332501020304050602912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.80.0
8.58.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 4.4
7.32.1
8.66.6
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
Second
2587
#30
10.00.0
9.69.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 4.3
8392
#26
5.72.1
7.95.8
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Third
5261
#25
7.70.0
10.510.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 5.4
5070
#28
2.32.1
7.15.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed