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Red8
95166.6
75215.8
81448.4
Blue63
348117.5
952112.2
71157.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3429102040506070863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8144
#21
8.41.5
6.14.7
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 9.1
3481
#12
17.51.4
11.813.3
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
9516
#29
6.62.4
14.812.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 5.6
9521
#10
12.21.4
8.09.4
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Third
7521
#27
5.81.5
9.17.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 1.7
7115
#11
7.42.4
6.99.2
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed