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Red54
947821.9
95158.4
12557.1
Blue49
64887.5
384737.3
95175.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234804060805449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.0
13.614.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
blue by 15.4
37.30.5
32.733.2
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
9515
#23
8.41.0
6.67.6
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
6488
#24
7.50.5
5.56.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
1255
#22
7.11.0
3.54.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
red by 1.7
9517
#20
5.40.5
2.63.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed