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Red45
83925.7
855610.8
373521.2
Blue39
52617.7
61806.9
837012.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362701001502002503003504004539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
16.316.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 8.8
8370
#17
12.40.3
12.612.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Second
8556
#13
10.80.6
8.18.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 3.1
5261
#25
7.70.3
10.210.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
8392
#26
5.71.0
6.97.9
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6180
#14
6.90.2
2.62.8
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed