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Red78
93076.3
11839.4
95166.6
Blue27
258710.0
71157.4
851518.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593102040801001207827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
39.41.9
33.335.2
Auto16.9
Teleop18.5
End4.1
red by 20.7
18.70.4
13.312.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
9516
#29DQ
6.63.2
11.614.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 3.4
2587
#30
10.00.7
10.39.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
9307
#15
6.31.9
4.76.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 1.2
7115
#11
7.40.7
7.66.9
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed