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Red16
348117.5
769111.8
12557.1
Blue35
28826.7
50702.3
947821.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3224010204050601635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#12
17.51.1
13.011.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
blue by 4.3
21.90.8
12.813.6
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
11.81.9
10.48.5
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
red by 5.1
2882
#19
6.70.8
3.94.8
Auto1.3
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Third
1255
#22
7.11.1
4.73.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
red by 4.8
5070
#28
2.31.4
5.77.1
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed