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Red9
30292.6
45877.3
91819.9
Blue73
952112.2
384737.3
75215.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8590204080100120973

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9181
#16
9.90.3
8.07.7
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
blue by 27.4
37.30.7
32.032.7
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
4587
#18
7.30.3
4.74.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 5.0
9521
#10
12.20.7
7.38.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Third
3029
#31DQ
2.60.3
0.90.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
blue by 3.2
7521
#27
5.80.7
8.49.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed