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Red13
61806.9
81448.4
95175.4
Blue71
541436.6
951215.6
25857.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5592040801001201371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8144
#21
8.40.1
6.06.1
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 28.2
36.61.2
28.229.4
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
Second
6180
#14
6.90.1
2.52.6
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
blue by 8.7
15.61.2
11.812.9
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Third
9517
#20
5.40.1
2.52.6
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 1.9
7.31.9
6.78.6
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed