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Red51
348117.5
851518.7
52617.7
Blue52
64887.5
12557.1
11839.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801005152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.0
13.313.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 20.7
118
#1
39.40.5
33.833.3
Auto16.9
Teleop18.5
End4.1
Second
3481
#12
17.50.0
13.013.0
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 10.0
6488
#24
7.50.6
6.15.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
5261
#25
7.70.1
10.310.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
red by 0.6
1255
#22
7.10.5
5.24.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsEarned