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Red14
50702.3
64887.5
83925.7
Blue31
851518.7
12557.1
75215.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222704060801001201401601431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6488
#24
7.50.9
7.46.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 11.2
18.70.5
12.312.8
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
8392
#26
5.71.5
7.25.7
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 1.4
1255
#22
7.10.5
4.14.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Third
5070
#28
2.31.5
5.54.0
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
blue by 3.4
7521
#27
5.80.5
7.17.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed