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Red27
837012.4
95166.6
95158.4
Blue38
81448.4
93076.3
348117.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333001020405060702738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#17
12.40.3
11.010.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 5.2
3481
#12
17.50.7
15.115.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
9515
#23
8.40.2
8.98.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Level
8144
#21
8.40.7
6.16.9
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
9516
#29
6.60.3
9.79.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End1.6
red by 0.3
9307
#15
6.30.7
6.16.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed