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Red42
64887.5
947821.9
25857.3
Blue23
769111.8
50702.3
855610.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362104060801004223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.4
17.017.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 10.1
11.80.2
7.57.7
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
6488
#24
7.50.4
6.57.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
blue by 3.3
8556
#13
10.80.1
9.39.4
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
7.30.7
7.07.7
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
red by 5.0
5070
#28
2.30.2
4.04.3
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed