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Red73
384737.3
61806.9
851518.7
Blue24
951215.6
75215.8
71157.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions642702040801001207324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.31.3
34.135.4
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 21.7
15.60.3
14.113.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Second
18.71.3
12.814.1
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 11.3
7115
#11
7.40.6
7.56.9
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Third
6180
#14
6.91.3
6.67.9
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
red by 1.1
7521
#27
5.80.3
7.67.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed