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Red49
91819.9
373521.2
952112.2
Blue61
541436.6
12557.1
258710.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375402060801004961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.6
17.918.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
blue by 15.4
36.60.8
32.933.7
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
Second
9521
#10
12.20.6
8.99.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
red by 2.2
2587
#30
10.01.4
9.310.6
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Third
9181
#16
9.90.6
8.38.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
red by 2.8
1255
#22
7.10.8
4.65.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed