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Red25
95158.4
30292.6
951215.6
Blue47
45877.3
50702.3
851518.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29260204060802547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.1
15.415.3
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 3.2
18.71.2
13.815.0
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Second
9515
#23
8.40.1
8.38.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
red by 1.1
4587
#18
7.31.2
6.37.5
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
3029
#31
2.60.1
2.52.4
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
red by 0.3
5070
#28
2.31.9
3.85.7
Auto1.2
Teleop0.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed