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Red58
91819.9
541436.6
71157.4
Blue33
61806.9
769111.8
64887.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6018040801005833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
33.934.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
red by 24.9
11.80.7
7.27.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
9181
#16
9.90.3
9.09.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
red by 2.4
6488
#24
7.50.4
6.56.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Third
7115
#11
7.40.4
6.16.5
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 0.5
6180
#14
6.90.4
7.68.0
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed