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Red34
373521.2
93076.3
75215.8
Blue27
28826.7
95175.4
12557.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421002060803427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
20.120.0
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 14.1
1255
#22
7.10.6
5.15.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
Second
9307
#15
6.30.1
6.56.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 0.5
2882
#19
6.70.6
2.83.4
Auto1.3
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Third
7521
#27
5.80.1
7.27.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
red by 0.3
9517
#20
5.40.6
4.65.2
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed