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Red32
52617.7
851518.7
25857.3
Blue21
952112.2
81448.4
45877.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382702060801003221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.70.4
15.014.6
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 6.5
9521
#10
12.20.3
11.210.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
Second
5261
#25
7.70.7
10.09.3
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 0.7
8144
#21
8.40.3
7.16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
7.30.6
8.47.8
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
red by 0.1
4587
#18
7.30.3
7.57.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed