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Red68
348117.5
28826.7
384737.3
Blue71
769111.8
541436.6
45877.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615502040801001206871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.6
33.634.2
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 0.6
36.60.7
34.535.2
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
Second
3481
#12
17.50.6
17.217.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 5.8
11.80.9
9.09.9
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Third
2882
#19
6.70.6
4.04.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 0.6
4587
#18
7.30.7
7.27.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed