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Red11
75215.8
25857.3
95158.4
Blue24
951215.6
95175.4
91819.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25320102040506070801124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9515
#23
8.40.8
9.08.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
blue by 7.2
15.60.5
14.614.0
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Second
7.31.1
7.86.7
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 2.6
9181
#16
9.90.5
8.57.9
Auto3.0
Teleop0.5
End6.5
Third
7521
#27
5.80.8
6.45.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
red by 0.3
9517
#20
5.40.5
4.94.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed