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Red38
373521.2
95166.6
30292.6
Blue12
52617.7
64887.5
81448.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342304060803812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
20.720.6
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 12.8
8144
#21
8.40.7
6.66.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Second
9516
#29
6.60.1
6.66.4
Auto1.7
Teleop3.3
End1.6
blue by 1.1
5261
#25
7.70.9
8.17.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
3029
#31
2.60.1
2.32.2
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
blue by 5.0
6488
#24
7.50.7
7.46.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed