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Red26
95175.4
83925.7
258710.0
Blue35
75215.8
348117.5
61806.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21360103040506070802635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#30
10.00.4
10.510.9
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End1.3
blue by 7.5
3481
#12
17.50.0
17.817.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
8392
#26
5.70.4
6.16.5
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 1.2
6180
#14
6.90.0
7.57.5
Auto5.3
Teleop0.2
End1.4
Third
9517
#20
5.40.3
4.44.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 0.3
7521
#27
5.80.0
5.65.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed