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Red18
25857.3
837012.4
28826.7
Blue66
947821.9
855610.8
851518.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215204060801001866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8370
#17
12.40.4
11.511.1
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End0.5
blue by 9.5
21.91.2
19.020.2
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
Second
7.30.4
6.76.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
blue by 11.4
18.71.2
15.116.3
Auto9.7
Teleop7.1
End1.9
Third
2882
#19
6.70.3
4.64.3
Auto1.3
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 4.1
8556
#13
10.81.2
9.410.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed