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Red73
64887.5
951215.6
541436.6
Blue26
45877.3
52617.7
95158.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681904060801001207326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.1
35.236.3
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
red by 28.2
9515
#23
8.40.5
8.27.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End1.4
Second
15.61.1
14.015.2
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
red by 7.9
5261
#25
7.70.6
7.26.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Third
6488
#24
7.51.1
6.87.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 0.3
4587
#18
7.30.5
7.97.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned