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Red22
12557.1
952112.2
93076.3
Blue66
384737.3
71157.4
25857.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2356040801002266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9521
#10
12.20.5
11.911.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
blue by 25.0
37.31.0
34.235.2
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
1255
#22
7.10.5
5.75.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End2.0
blue by 0.4
7115
#11
7.41.2
6.27.4
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Third
9307
#15
6.30.5
7.36.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
blue by 1.1
7.31.1
6.37.3
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned