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Red63
952112.2
541436.6
855610.8
Blue16
75215.8
45877.3
83925.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721404060801001201406316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.3
36.336.6
Auto12.8
Teleop23.2
End0.6
red by 29.4
4587
#18
7.30.2
7.47.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
9521
#10
12.20.3
11.511.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.1
End1.5
red by 6.5
7521
#27
5.80.2
5.65.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Third
8556
#13
10.80.3
10.510.9
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 5.2
8392
#26
5.70.3
6.56.2
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed