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Red27
373521.2
258710.0
64887.5
Blue48
95175.4
384737.3
30292.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4347102030607080902748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.8
20.319.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.5
End1.1
blue by 16.1
37.30.4
35.235.6
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
Second
2587
#30
10.00.9
10.910.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 4.6
9517
#20
5.40.4
4.75.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
6488
#24
7.50.8
7.97.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 5.0
3029
#31
2.60.4
2.22.6
Auto2.2
Teleop-0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed