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Red62
52617.7
951215.6
75215.8
Blue49
25857.3
769111.8
855610.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303410204050606249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.2
15.215.4
Auto7.0
Teleop7.9
End0.7
red by 3.8
11.80.3
11.812.1
Auto1.5
Teleop8.1
End2.2
Second
5261
#25
7.70.2
7.37.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End0.7
blue by 3.1
8556
#13
10.80.3
10.911.2
Auto4.2
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
7521
#27
5.80.2
5.35.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End0.6
blue by 1.6
7.30.3
7.37.7
Auto4.7
Teleop0.2
End2.4