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Red103
947821.9
81448.4
384737.3
Blue8
83925.7
71157.4
93076.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7715040601001201401038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.8
35.636.4
Auto18.2
Teleop16.3
End2.8
red by 29.8
7115
#11
7.40.3
8.07.7
Auto4.3
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Second
21.90.8
20.221.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.4
End3.1
red by 15.6
9307
#15
6.30.3
6.86.6
Auto2.6
Teleop2.5
End1.2
Third
8144
#21
8.40.8
6.77.5
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 2.7
8392
#26
5.70.3
6.26.0
Auto0.6
Teleop3.1
End1.9