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Red43
23123.2
28824.9
95144.8
Blue13
817711.0
88183.9
83693.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423502060801004313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#5
23.20.6
16.917.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
red by 12.2
8177
#15
11.02.2
16.214.1
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Second
2882
#28
4.90.6
10.611.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
red by 1.0
8818
#35
3.92.2
7.55.3
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.6
Third
9514
#36
4.80.6
9.710.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
red by 1.0
8369
#22
3.82.2
8.66.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed