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Red33
85568.2
147725.2
92892.7
Blue47
258224.0
951211.9
95156.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333502060801001203347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.5
18.017.6
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 1.2
24.00.4
17.217.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End1.5
Second
8556
#10
8.20.5
6.96.5
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.5
blue by 3.7
9512
#14
11.90.4
7.68.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
9289
#40
2.70.5
5.14.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
blue by 3.9
9515
#30
6.60.4
6.87.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed