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Red4
95173.8
94485.6
66457.5
Blue20
95215.8
857615.8
74187.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20330104050607080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6645
#16
7.51.7
7.15.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.2
blue by 8.3
15.80.9
13.612.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
Second
9448
#21
5.61.7
6.34.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
blue by 1.4
7418
#31
7.00.9
8.47.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Third
9517
#32
3.81.7
6.04.3
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 2.0
9521
#19
5.80.9
6.35.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed