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Red0
58297.2
83693.8
90511.6
Blue52
11826.7
761612.7
851513.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17500406080052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#17
7.22.1
8.86.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 19.5
118
#4
26.71.1
21.622.6
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Second
8369
#22
3.82.0
6.74.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 9.5
8515
#18
13.31.1
11.612.7
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Third
9051
#33
1.62.0
3.71.7
Auto1.8
Teleop-0.4
End0.2
blue by 11.1
7616
#25
12.71.1
7.78.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed