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Red10
30291.7
83693.8
761612.7
Blue11
95173.8
91218.1
817711.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2123510152530351011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7616
#25
12.71.6
7.76.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 1.7
8177
#15
11.01.1
13.012.0
Auto4.9
Teleop3.6
End2.5
Second
8369
#22
3.81.6
7.76.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.4
End0.6
blue by 4.3
9121
#34
8.11.1
4.23.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.3
End0.3
Third
3029
#39
1.71.6
3.72.2
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End0.5
blue by 2.1
9517
#32
3.81.1
3.32.2
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed