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Red30
147725.2
851513.3
857615.8
Blue32
23123.2
62421.0
45873.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484720304060703032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.22.5
18.816.3
Auto9.4
Teleop14.4
End1.4
red by 2.0
231
#5
23.21.4
16.214.8
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End2.3
Second
15.82.5
11.38.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End0.6
blue by 5.3
624
#2
21.01.4
20.619.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End1.0
Third
8515
#18
13.32.5
12.610.1
Auto6.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
red by 9.4
4587
#23
3.91.4
6.04.6
Auto1.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed