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Red18
749213.3
28824.9
58297.2
Blue6
94485.6
37283.1
90816.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43160102030506070186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7492
#20
13.32.5
12.710.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End2.1
red by 7.3
9081
#24
6.01.9
6.54.6
Auto1.3
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Second
5829
#17
7.22.5
11.99.3
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
red by 1.6
9448
#21
5.61.9
5.94.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Third
2882
#28
4.92.5
11.38.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.5
End0.8
red by 1.8
3728
#37
3.11.9
5.63.7
Auto1.7
Teleop0.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed