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Red22
81446.8
296910.0
95144.8
Blue15
85568.2
74187.0
12555.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24245101520303540452215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2969
#13
10.01.1
8.57.4
Auto5.0
Teleop4.4
End0.6
red by 1.8
8556
#10
8.21.5
5.53.9
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.5
Second
8144
#12
6.81.1
5.34.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 0.2
7418
#31
7.01.5
7.55.9
Auto3.2
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Third
9514
#36
4.81.1
8.17.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.8
End0.9
blue by 0.4
1255
#27
5.21.5
8.97.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed