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Red45
947811.7
93075.7
463916.8
Blue20
92892.7
731218.2
30291.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30180104050604520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.5
11.311.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 1.4
18.20.3
12.512.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Second
9478
#11
11.70.5
8.28.7
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 9.0
9289
#40
2.70.3
2.83.1
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Third
9307
#26
5.70.5
6.26.7
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
red by 4.0
3029
#39
1.70.3
2.22.4
Auto0.9
Teleop0.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed