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Red26
90816.0
58297.2
66457.5
Blue37
258224.0
95173.8
947811.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2138010305060702637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6645
#16
7.51.1
6.85.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End0.2
blue by 16.6
24.00.5
21.121.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.2
End1.5
Second
5829
#17
7.21.1
9.38.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 4.6
9478
#11
11.70.5
8.79.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Third
9081
#24
6.01.1
4.63.5
Auto1.3
Teleop4.2
End0.5
red by 2.2
9517
#32
3.80.5
2.22.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed