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Red28
93075.7
85568.2
11826.7
Blue4
59237.5
92892.7
94485.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381202030506070284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
26.70.8
20.619.8
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End2.6
red by 19.1
5923
#29
7.51.4
7.25.9
Auto1.2
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Second
8556
#10
8.20.8
3.93.1
Auto1.7
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 2.6
9448
#21
5.61.4
4.02.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.4
Third
9307
#26
5.70.8
6.75.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.4
End0.8
red by 3.0
9289
#40
2.71.4
3.11.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed